ConsensusActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.1%1.4%-0.5%0.2%
Year over Year0.5%-2.2%-1.2%

Highlights

Industrial production experienced a strong rebound in August, with goods production rising by 1.4 percent following a revised increase in July. The pharmaceutical sector was the primary driver of this surge, experiencing a remarkable 22 percent increase, which was a reflection of the significant rise in pharmaceutical production. The transport equipment industry also rebounded, experiencing a 3.3 percent increase following a previous contraction. Nevertheless, the report emphasises the ongoing declines in critical sectors, such as petroleum products, agricultural products, and machinery, which fell by 2.4 percent, 0.5 percent and 1.1 percent respectively.

The year-over-year data shows a 0.5 percent rise in industrial output and is less optimistic, despite the monthly recovery. The industries that brought down this rate of growth include the transport equipment sector, which experienced a significant decline of 6 percent, with motor vehicle manufacturing experiencing a 14.3 percent decline. However, the mining, energy, and water sectors, as well as the other manufacturing industries, demonstrated modest annual growth.

This report emphasises the inconsistent recovery in the industrial sector, with pharmaceutical output driving the growth, while other industries, primarily transport and machinery, continue to struggle. The uneven performance indicates that the industrial recovery as a whole remains fragile, leaving the RPI at minus 4 (within market consensus) and the RPI-P at 13, (outperforming market consensus).

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Production is expected to expand just 0.1 percent on the month after a surprisingly steep 0.5 percent drop in July.

Definition

Industrial production measures the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Manufacturing is seen as the best guide to underlying developments as some sectors can be very volatile and cause misleadingly large short-term swings in total industrial production.

Description

Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that won't lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded from the data. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
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