Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.5% | -1.0% to 1.9% | 2.0% | -1.7% |
Year over Year | -2.7% | -5.1% to -1.3% | -1.9% | 0.1% |
Highlights
The decline was smaller than the median economist forecast of a 2.7% drop and it was mainly caused by volatile factors of vehicle purchases and spending on home repairs and maintenance, which pulled down overall spending by a combined 2.49 percentage points. A pullback in domestic and overseas package tours also made a negative 0.51-point contribution.
Those factors were partly offset by continued solid expenditures on eating out at bars and Japanese restaurants, which pushed up overall spending by 0.58 point, and slightly more generous post-pandemic spending on weddings and funerals (+0.53 point). People also paid more on rice and cup noodles amid a rare rice supply shortage in Japan.
The core measure of real average household spending (excluding housing, motor vehicles and remittance), a key indicator used in GDP calculation, was nearly flat, down just 0.1% after dipping 0.8% in July and rising 1.3% in June for the first increase in 16 months.
On the month, real average expenditures by households with two or more people rebounded 2.0% in payback for a 1.7% plunge in July, when the killer heat wave intensified. It came in much stronger that the consensus call of a 0.5% gain.
The average real income of households with salaried workers rose 2.0% in August for the fourth straight year-on-year gain after rising 5.5% in July and 3.1% in June. In nominal terms, the average income grew 5.6% following increases of 8.1% in July and 6.5% in the prior month. This continues to indicate that a high pace of wage growth by Japanese standards is spreading to smaller firms that employ about 70% of the workforce.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
On the month, real average expenditures by households with two or more people are expected to rise 0.5 percent after plunging 1.7 percent in July, when the killer heat wave intensified.