Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate | 6.1% | 6.0% to 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
Highlights
However, job vacancies increased by 1,000, recovering the drop in September and at least tentatively pointing to some stabilisation ahead.
Nonetheless, current labour market conditions hint at a likely downturn in consumer spending and economic growth, as the ongoing rise in joblessness weakens household income and spending power. Today's update puts the German RPI and RPI-P at 21 and 35 respectively, both readings showing overall economic activity running well ahead of market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Unlike in the U.S. no wage data are included in this report. But by tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If labor markets are tight, investors will be alert to possible inflationary pressures that could exist. If wage inflation threatens, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise; bond and stock prices will fall. No doubt that the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who watched the employment report and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events. In contrast, when job growth is slow or negative, then interest rates are likely to decline - boosting up bond and stock prices in the process.