Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.8% | 0.0% to 1.5% | 2.9% | -2.4% | -2.9% |
Year over Year | -2.5% | -5.3% | -5.8% |
Highlights
Capital goods production output was up 6.9 percent, while manufacturing, which excludes energy and construction, rose 3.4 percent. Consumer products remained constant but construction and energy also made modest contributions, with gains of 0.3 percent and 2.3 percent respectively.
Looking through the volatility, the 3-monthly change stands at minus 1.3 percent and so continues to show underlying weakness. That said, today's update at least lifts the RPI to 14 and the RPI-P to 25, both showing overall economic activity finally running slightly ahead of market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.