Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Level | 44.8 | 44.8 to 44.8 | 51.5 | 52.5 |
Highlights
The PMI posted above the 50-growth threshold indicating expansion of the industry with improvements in output, new orders and suppliers' delivery times. However, employment levels and stocks of purchases both declined. This is likely due to manufacturers looking to mitigate rising input costs by reducing expenditures in other areas.
Manufacturing production rose for the fifth consecutive month in September. The main drivers were the consumer and intermediate goods sectors while the investment goods sector slipped back into contraction, with production and new work inflow contracting for the first time in five months.
Business optimism subsequently dropped to a nine-month low in September with uncertainty relating to possible changes in government policy largely centring around October's Autumn Budget as well as subdued global market conditions.
Average input prices continued to rise in September. This was passed on to clients as increased selling prices.
The latest results put the UK RPI at plus 24 and the RPI-P at plus 20. Overall economic activity is moderately outperforming market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.