Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 1.8% | 1.8% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
Year over Year | 0.1% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
Highlights
August's recovery was dominated by capital goods which climbed fully 3.7 percent on the month. Consumer durables (1.7 percent) and non-durables (0.2 percent) also made ground as did energy (0.4 percent) but intermediates (minus 0.3 percent) extended their solid trend decline.
Regionally the headline gain was led by Germany where production full reversed July's 3.3 percent slump. France (1.4 percent) similarly had a good month but Italy (0.1 percent) was little more than flat while Spain (minus 0.4 percent) posted a second straight loss.
Nonetheless, the August update puts average Eurozone industrial production in the first two months of the quarter 0.3 percent above the second quarter mean. Absent any revisions, September will need a monthly fall of at least 1.7 percent to prevent the sector from adding to third quarter GDP growth. It may be that the goods producing sector is on the turn but with surveys still showing falling demand and declining backlogs, such a call could prove very premature. In any event, today's report puts the Eurozone RPI at minus 1 and the RPI-P at 10. Overall economic activity is essentially matching market expectations despite surprisingly weak prices.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.