ActualPrevious
Composite - Level52.052.8
Services - Level52.953.8

Highlights

The global composite index for September fell to 52.0, 0.8 points less than August (52.8). This is the 11th month in a row that the global composite is above 50, signalling business expansion.

Output growth was due to an increase in new business (51.1). The US, Japan, UK and Brazil all expanded, but the eurozone, Canada, Russia and mainland China showed signs of either contracting or stalling.

Employment showed no change (50.0) while input costs increased but at a slower pace than last month. Output charges also increased in September.

The global service index fell to 52.9, 0.9 points lower than in August (53.8) and extending a 20-month streak of expansion. This can be attributed to an increase in both new orders and new export business. Employment increased slightly while backlogs made gains. Input prices rose again in September, with the rate of inflation remaining high, leading to an increase in output prices.

Business optimism dipped to a 2-year low.

Definition

JP Morgan Global Services PMI gives an overview of the global services sector. It is based on monthly surveys of over 5,500 executives from 15 of the world’s strongest economies, including the U.S., Japan, Germany, France and China which together account for nearly 80 percent of global services sector’s gross value added (GWA). It reflects changes in global output, employment, new business, backlogs and prices. The Global Services PMI is seasonally adjusted at the national level to control for varying seasonal patterns in each country and is produced by J.P. Morgan and Markit in association with ISM and the International Federation of Purchasing and supply Management (IFPSM).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. The J.P. Morgan Global Services PMI provides advance insight into the global services sector, which gives investors a better understanding of business conditions and valuable information about the economic backdrop of global markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures. The PMI data are also used by many Central Banks to help make interest rate decisions.

The JP Morgan Global Services PMI data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the services sector accounts for the lion’s share of GDP of many advanced economies, this report has a big influence on the markets. In addition, its sub-indexes provide a picture of global output, employment, new business, backlogs and prices.
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