ActualPrevious
Composite Index - W/W-5.1%-1.3%
Purchase Index - W/W-0.1%0.7%
Refinance Index - W/W-9.3%-2.9%

Highlights

The MBA mortgage applications index is 5.1 percent lower in the October 4 week. It is 18.7 percent higher than four weeks ago and 54.8 percent higher than a year earlier. The purchase index is 0.1 percent lower in the current week and 7.6 percent higher than four weeks ago and 8.5 percent higher than a year earlier. The refinancing index is 9.3 percent lower and is 31.6 percent higher than four weeks ago and 158.5 percent higher than a year earlier. In the October 4 week, refinancing accounted for 52.4 percent of mortgage applications compared to 54.9 percent in the prior week.

Applications for mortgages are extremely sensitive to even small change in rates. The increase in the October 4 week was enough to halt the recent upward trend despite more inventory available and homebuyers having more power to negotiate price and terms. The contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 6.36 percent in the current week. This is 22 basis points higher than the prior week, 7 basis points higher than four weeks ago, and 131 basis points lower than a year earlier. The contract rate for a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage is 6.06 percent in the week. This is 19 basis points higher than the prior week, 21 basis points higher than four weeks ago, and 27 basis points lower than a year earlier. In the October 4 week, adjustable-rate mortgages accounted for 5.9 percent of mortgage applications compared to 5.8 percent in the prior week.

The fixed-rate mortgage index is 5.2 percent lower in the October 4 week. It is 18.1 percent higher than four weeks ago and 60.4 percent higher than this week last year. The adjustable-rate mortgage index is 3.1 percent lower and is 29.8 percent higher than four weeks ago and 0.4 percent lower than a year ago.

Definition

The Mortgage Bankers' Association compiles various mortgage loan indexes. The purchase applications index measures applications at mortgage lenders. This is a leading indicator for single-family home sales and housing construction.

Description

This provides a gauge of not only the demand for housing, but economic momentum. People have to be feeling pretty comfortable and confident in their own financial position to buy a house. Furthermore, this narrow piece of data has a powerful multiplier effect through the economy, and therefore across the markets and your investments. By tracking economic data such as the Mortgage Bankers Association purchase applications, investors can gain specific investment ideas as well as broad guidance for managing a portfolio.

Each time the construction of a new home begins, it translates to more construction jobs, and income which will be pumped back into the economy. Once a home is sold, it generates revenues for the home builder and the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer. Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items new home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month.

Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, housing construction has a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the MBA purchase applications index carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.
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