Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Change | -50bp | -50bp to -25bp | -50bp | -25bp |
Level | 4.75% | 4.75% to 5.0% | 4.75% | 5.25% |
Highlights
This easing in policy at the last two meetings follows data showing headline CPI inflation fell to 3.3 percent in the three months to June from 4.0 percent in the three months to March, with core inflation falling from 3.7 percent to 2.8 percent. In the statement accompanying today's decision, officials advised that they remain confident that inflation will fall back to within their target range of one percent to three percent this quarter and remain within that range over the forecast horizon. Officials also pointed to recent weakness in both consumer spending and investment and noted risks to the outlook for external demand
Reflecting this assessment, officials concluded that there is now"scope to further ease the level of monetary policy restrictiveness" while noting that policy remains restrictive after today's decision. This suggests that officials will consider further rate cuts in upcoming meetings provided they are confident that their inflation objectives will be met.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
The RBNZ maintains an inflationary target range of 1 percent to 3 percent and will change rates to keep it within such a range, making rate decisions fairly predictable. Rate changes are significant nonetheless, affecting interest rates in consumer loans, mortgages, and bond rates. Increases or even expectations for rate increases tend to cause the New Zealand Dollar to appreciate, while rate decreases cause the currency to depreciate.
Description
Frequency
Eight times a year.