Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Change | 0bp | 0bp | 0bp |
Level | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% |
Highlights
In the statement accompanying today's decision, however, officials expressed concern about recent inflation data, with quarterly CPI data showing underlying inflation at 3.9 percent in the three months to June. Although officials expect the monthly CPI data to show a near-term fall in headline inflation in response to government measures aimed at easing cost of living pressures, they noted again that they do not expect inflation to return to the target range until 2026.
Although officials left policy on hold today, they reiterated that returning inflation to target remains their highest priority. Speaking after the decision, RBA Governor Michele Bullock advised that officials did not"explicitly consider" raising rates at today's meeting, as they did in their two previous meetings, but she also reiterated that she currently does not expect policy will be loosened in coming months. The RBA's next meeting is scheduled for early November.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The RBA is unique among the central banks - it has two boards with complementary responsibilities. The Reserve Bank Board is responsible for monetary policy and overall financial system stability. The Payments System Board has specific responsibility for the safety and efficiency of the payments system.
The RBA sets an interest rate at which it lends to financial institutions. This interest rate then affects the whole range of interest rates set by commercial banks and other institutions for their own savers and borrowers. It also tends to affect the price of financial assets, such as bonds and shares, and the exchange rate, which affect consumer and business demand in a variety of ways. Lowering or raising interest rates affects spending in the economy.
The level of interest rates affects the economy. Higher interest rates tend to slow economic activity; lower interest rates stimulate economic activity. Either way, interest rates influence the sales environment. In the consumer sector, few homes or cars will be purchased when interest rates rise. Furthermore, interest rate costs are a significant factor for many businesses, particularly for companies with high debt loads or who have to finance high inventory levels. This interest cost has a direct impact on corporate profits. The bottom line is that higher interest rates are bearish for the financial markets, while lower interest rates are bullish.