Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Employment - M/M | 31,000 | 47,500 | 58,200 |
Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
Participation Rate | 67.1% | 67.1% |
Highlights
The number of people employed in Australia rose by 47,500 in August, down from an increase of 58,200 in July but well above the consensus forecast for an increase of 31,000. Full-time employment fell by 3,100 persons after a very strong increase of 60,500 last month, while part-time employment rose by 50,600 persons after a previous fall of 2,300 persons. Hours worked rose 0.4 percent on the month, as they did previously.
Today's data also show the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2 percent in August. The participation rate was also unchanged at a record high of 67.1 percent.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.
The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.