ConsensusActualPrevious
Month over Month-0.1%-0.9%0.5%
Year over Year-3.3%-2.6%

Highlights

Industrial production in critical sectors of the Italian economy experienced substantial obstacles in July, experiencing a 0.9 percent decrease from June. Although the energy sector demonstrated resilience, increasing by 2.3 percent, declines in intermediate goods, capital goods and consumer goods by 0.7 percent, 1.2 percent, and 2.3 percent respectively underscored the challenges faced by a variety of industries.

Year-over-year, capital and consumer products were the most severely affected, with 4.2 percent and 5.2 percent declines in industrial output, respectively, resulting in a 3.3 percent annual decrease. Meanwhile, energy continued to be a shining point, experiencing a 1.5 percent increase during the same period. Furthermore, chemicals rose by 3.9 percent, while food, beverage, and tobacco industries increased by 2.5 percent demonstrating robust growth. Nevertheless, the textile sector experienced a significant decline of 18.3 percent, while transportation equipment and mining activities also declined by 11.4 percent and 5.9 percent.

The ongoing sectoral challenges are underscored by the divergence between energy and manufacturing, as the growing production of energy is unable to counteract the deeper declines in important manufacturing industries. This asymmetrical recovery may indicate more extensive structural changes within the economy, leaving the RPI at minus 1 and the RPI-P at minus 6.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Production is expected to slip 0.1 percent on the month following a surprisingly firm 0.5 percent bounce in June.

Definition

Industrial production measures the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Construction is excluded. Approximately 4,100 companies provide data on more than 8,000 monthly flows of production.

Description

Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded from the data. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
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