Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.5% | -1.1% to 0.7% | -3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
Year over Year | -2.1% | -2.7% to 0.1% | -4.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
Highlights
METI's survey of producers indicated that output is expected to rise just 0.3 percent in September before rising a further 2.0 percent in October.
From a year earlier, factory output fell 4.9 percent, much weaker than the consensus call of a 2.1 percent dip and following an upwardly revised 2.9 percent gain in July and 7.9 percent drop.
The ministry maintained its assessment, saying industrial output is"taking one step forward and one step back" after upgrading it last month. It said it will keep a close watch on how global economic growth will evolve.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
From a year earlier, factory output is expected to drop 2.1 percent, following an upwardly revised 2.9 percent gain
Last month, the ministry upgraded its assessment, saying industrial output is"taking one step forward and one step back" Previously, it said, output"has weakened while taking one step forward and one step back."
Definition
Description
Industrial production provides key industry data for this export-dependent economy. The data are issued twice a month-a preliminary estimate at the end of the month for the preceding month and a revised estimate about two weeks later. All products, whether sold domestically or abroad, are included in the calculation of industrial production. Industrial production is highly sensitive to the business cycle and can often predict future changes in employment, earnings and income. For these reasons industrial production is considered a reliable leading indicator that conveys information about the overall health of the economy. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.