Recent History | |||||||
On Feed | Placements | Marketings | On Feed | ||||
Month | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | 90+ Days |
Mar-24 | 11.838 | 101.3% | 1.752 | 88.0% | 1.707 | 86.3% | 6.656 |
Apr-24 | 11.826 | 101.5% | 1.656 | 94.2% | 1.872 | 110.1% | 6.587 |
May-24 | 11.554 | 99.1% | 2.046 | 104.3% | 1.955 | 100.2% | 6.425 |
Jun-24 | 11.583 | 99.9% | 1.564 | 93.2% | 1.786 | 91.3% | 6.304 |
Jul-24 | 11.304 | 100.5% | 1.702 | 105.8% | 1.855 | 107.7% | 6.213 |
Aug-24 | 11.095 | 100.3% | 1.975 | 98.6% | 1.818 | 96.4% | 5.958 |
Sep-24 | 11.198 | 100.6% | - | - | - | - | 6.124 |
Cattle on Feed Estimates | |||||
Estimates | |||||
As Of | Average | Low | High | Last Year | |
On Feed | Sep | 100.6% | 100.1% | 101.3% | 97.7% |
Placements | Aug | 98.1% | 93.5% | 102.3% | 94.9% |
Marketings | Aug | 96.6% | 96.0% | 97.5% | 94.0% |
Highlights
On Feed number was right on the guesses and placements and marketings did not deviate significantly from the pre-report estimates, resulting in a mostly neutral report. On feed numbers in September are typically seasonally low before grass cattle move into commercial feedlots and the fall calf run starts. However, the extremely dry August and cheap corn prices across the US Plains may have prompted more cattle moving into feedlots than normal, accounting for the slightly higher than expected placements number. With Live Cattle futures closing the week very strong at its highest price since August 2nd, expect some minor profit taking early next week as December futures ended right on the .618% retracement to the late July highs at 183.20.