Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.1% | 0.2% | -0.0% |
Year over Year | 1.5% | 1.2% |
Highlights
The advance estimate for August points to another flat showing, underscoring sluggishness in the third quarter, and growth below the Bank of Canada's 2.8 percent forecast, with declining per capita GDP to boot.
For July, services and goods-producing sectors both showed growth with goods up 0.1 percent and services up 0.2 percent on the month. Overall, 13 of 20 sectors expanded in July.
Services did well despite the ill effect of wildfires on transportation, warehousing and accommodation. Gains largely reflected a strong showing in retail trade, the public sector and finance and insurance.
Goods-producing industries got their biggest lift from the utilities and manufacturing sectors.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The sources of data used for monthly and quarterly estimates often differ and leads to very different estimates for certain items, such as price deflators. As a result, the monthly figures are not perfectly correlated with the quarterly numbers. However, the monthly data do give some idea of where the quarter is headed and especially in an uncertain environment, they are closely watched. While industrial production is closely watched in the U.S., it is not in Canada especially since the economy has become increasingly dominated by services. However, the goods sector is more vulnerable to wide swings in output compared to services, and exports remain dominated by industrial output.