Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production - M/M | 0.2% | -0.8% | 0.8% |
Industrial Production - Y/Y | 10% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
Manufacturing Output - M/M | 0.2% | -1.0% | 1.1% |
Manufacturing Output - Y/Y | 20% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
Highlights
Manufacturing fared rather worse with a 1.0 percent monthly drop after a 1.1 percent increase previously. Some seven of its 13 subsectors recorded losses with the largest negative contributions coming from transport equipment and machinery and equipment which recorded falls of 2.3 percent and 4.7 percent respectively. Wood and paper products (1.6 percent) chalked up easily the largest increase.
Meantime, total industrial production was also boosted by a rise in mining and quarrying (3.9 percent) but negatively impacted by weakness in water supply and sewerage (minus 0.7 percent) and electricity and gas (minus 1.7 percent).
The July report puts the 3-monthly change in overall goods production at minus 0.1 percent and in manufacturing output at minus 0.3 percent. However, the August manufacturing PMI (52.5) was positive so the outlook for the rest of the quarter should be a little brighter. Today's releases put the UK RPI at minus 9 and the RPI-P at minus 15 meaning that in general, economic activity is falling slightly short of market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Industrial production accounts for less than 16 percent of the economy within which the key manufacturing sector is worth about ten percentage points. Total manufacturing is divided into thirteen sub-sectors, ranging from food, drink and tobacco through chemicals and chemical products to electronics and transport equipment. Consequently, this report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that won't lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.