Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% to 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Year over Year | 0.9% | 0.9% to 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
Highlights
Household consumption fell 0.2 percent on the quarter after a previous increase of 0.6 percent, offset by a positive contribution from net trade to headline growth of 0.2 percentage points. Private investment fell at a steady pace, down 0.6 percent on the quarter after falling 0.5 percent previously, while government spending increased 1.4 percent on the quarter.
Today's data cover the period in which officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia continued to leave policy rates on hold after increasing them once in late 2023. At their latest meeting, held last month, officials left rates on hold again but again advised that they could not rule out further rate increases. Today's data, however, suggest that previous policy tightening is continuing to weigh on demand and activity.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower.