Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
General Activity Index | -10.0 | -11.0 to -4.0 | -9.0 | -9.7 |
Production Index | -3.2 | 1.6 |
Highlights
The report showed deterioration in new orders, shipments and production, not a good sign. On the slightly positive side, wage cost and input cost increases moderated in September.
The Dallas Fed's general activity index for manufacturing came in at minus 9.0 in September versus minus 9.7 in August and minus 17.5 in July. The Econoday consensus forecast for September was minus 10.0.
Details in the Dallas report included new orders at minus 5.2 in September versus minus 4.2 in August and minus 12.8 in July. Production fell to minus 3.2 in September from 1.6 in August and minus 1.3 in July. Shipments registered minus 7.0 in September versus 0.8 in August and minus 16.3 in July.
Employment came in 2.9 in September versus minus 0.7 in August and 7.1 in July. Wages and benefits were at 18.5 in September versus 22.0 in August and 21.1 in July.
Prices paid for raw materials registered 18.2 in September versus 28.2 in August and 23.1 in July. Prices received were 8.4 in September versus 8.5 in August and 3.4 in July.
On the six-month outlook, general business conditions registered 11.4 in September versus 11.6 in August, 21.6 in July and 12.9 in June.