Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Year over Year | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
HICP - M/M | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
HICP - Y/Y | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
Highlights
Year-over-year, consumer prices saw a 2.3 percent increase, slightly up from June's 2.2 percent, with energy costs, especially gas being the primary driver at 11.4 percent. In contrast, annual inflationary pressures eased in services at 2.6 percent and food 0.5 percent. Core inflation fell to 1.5 percent from 1.8 percent, indicating a mild underlying price momentum. Meanwhile, the harmonised index of consumer prices mirrored these trends with a 0.2 percent month-over-month increase and a 2.7 percent year-over-year rise.
Overall, the report highlights energy costs, accommodation services, and service sector prices as primary drivers of inflation in July, partially offset by declines in the manufacturing sector goods and food prices, maintaining low levels of inflation in France.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.