Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 49.5 | 49.1 | 48.8 |
Services Index | 50.7 | 50.1 | 49.6 |
Highlights
While the Olympic Games and the conclusion of the election period temporarily boosted activity, these gains were offset by challenging sales conditions and political uncertainties. Unfavourable weather further hindered sales performance. Although service providers expect growth in the next 12 months, optimism has waned for four consecutive months and remains below the long-term average. Some fear that the Olympics' current surge might lead to lower output next year, adding to the uncertainty in the demand environment.
As things stand, the RPI remains well in negative territory at minus 25, while the RPI-P currently stands at minus 21, meaning that economic activity, in general, is now running behind market forecasts.