Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 67 | 67 | 0 | 59 | 66 | 84(1986) | 18(1988) | 177.3 | 91.475 |
Iowa | 77 | 77 | 0 | 59 | 70 | 99(1994) | 6(1988) | 201.0 | 13.100 |
Illinois | 77 | 81 | -4 | 62 | 69 | 97(1986) | 3(1988) | 206.0 | 10.900 |
Nebraska | 69 | 70 | -1 | 61 | 70 | 93(1994) | 32(2012) | 182.0 | 10.100 |
Minnesota | 59 | 58 | +1 | 43 | 69 | 90(2010) | 2(1988) | 185.0 | 8.100 |
Cotton: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 46 | 45 | +1 | 36 | 49 | 72(2004) | 31(2011) | 947.0 | 11.670 |
Texas | 33 | 32 | +1 | 15 | 36 | 74(2004) | 12(2011) | 796.0 | 6.430 |
Georgia | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 66 | 92(1991) | 7(1986) | 975.0 | 1.100 |
Arkansas | 76 | 74 | +2 | 78 | 79 | 90(1994) | 33(1989) | 1196.0 | 0.670 |
Mississippi | 57 | 56 | +1 | 67 | 65 | 84(2002) | 10(1986) | 1079.0 | 0.520 |
Soybeans: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 68 | 68 | 0 | 59 | 63 | 79(1994) | 23(1988) | 50.6 | 86.100 |
Illinois | 72 | 75 | -3 | 67 | 67 | 90(1992) | 12(2012) | 63.0 | 10.700 |
Iowa | 77 | 76 | +1 | 56 | 68 | 97(1994) | 8(1988) | 58.0 | 9.900 |
Minnesota | 62 | 63 | -1 | 47 | 66 | 87(2010) | 7(1993) | 48.0 | 7.600 |
North Dakota | 61 | 61 | 0 | 48 | 58 | 85(2010) | 13(2021) | 35.5 | 6.800 |
Spring Wheat: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 72 | 74 | -2 | 42 | 57 | 82(2010) | 11(2021) | 46.2 | 11.270 |
North Dakota | 81 | 80 | +1 | 42 | 62 | 85(2009) | 9(1989) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 58 | 68 | -10 | 39 | 47 | 84(1987) | 5(2021) | 25.0 | 2.450 |
Minnesota | 89 | 83 | +6 | 48 | 67 | 87(2017) | 13(1991) | 61.0 | 1.550 |
South Dakota | 80 | 75 | +5 | 32 | 46 | 80(2024) | 7(2021) | 48.0 | 0.720 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 18 | 6 | +12 | 20 | 26 | 80(1988) | 5(1993) | 46.2 | 11.270 |
North Dakota | 12 | 1 | +11 | 10 | 18 | 84(1988) | 1(2014) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 22 | 6 | +16 | 34 | 26 | 59(1988) | 1(2011) | 25.0 | 2.450 |
Minnesota | 9 | 3 | +6 | 24 | 31 | 90(2012) | 3(2013) | 61.0 | 1.550 |
South Dakota | 54 | 39 | +15 | 49 | 57 | 100(1988) | 14(2014) | 48.0 | 0.720 |
Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 08/11 | 08/04 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 93 | 88 | +5 | 91 | 92 | 97(2007) | 87(1993) | 47.0 | 33.805 |
Kansas | 100 | 100 | 0 | 99 | 100 | 100(2022) | 97(1993) | 37.0 | 7.700 |
Texas | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100(2023) | 97(2007) | 30.0 | 5.700 |
Oklahoma | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100(2023) | 100(2023) | 28.0 | 4.350 |
Colorado | 100 | 99 | +1 | 95 | 98 | 100(2022) | 93(1991) | 25.0 | 2.100 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Aug 11, 2024 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Spring Wheat Harvested | 16 | 13 - 23 | 6 | 24 | |
Winter Wheat Harvested | 93 | 91 - 93 | 88 | 92 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Corn Condition | 67 | 66 - 68 | 67 | 59 | |
Soybean Condition | 67 | 67 - 69 | 68 | 59 | |
Spring Wheat Condition | 74 | 72 - 75 | 74 | 42 | |
Highlights
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 11 was down 2% at 72% and poor / very poor was up 1% at 5%. Current G/EX is up 15% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is down 12% versus the 10 year average. Of the 6 reported states 3 reported better, 2 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: North Dakota 81%(+1%), Minnesota 89%(+6%), Montana 58%(-10%), South Dakota 80%(+5%), Idaho 63%(-6%).
Corn
Corn rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 11 was unchanged at 67% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 10%. Current G/EX is up 1% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is down 1% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 6 reported better, 11 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Iowa 77%(0%), Illinois 77%(-4%), Nebraska 69%(-1%), Minnesota 59%(+1%), Indiana 69%(-1%).
Soybeans
Soybeans rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 11 was unchanged at 68% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 8%. Current G/EX is up 5% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is down 2% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 7 reported better, 8 worse, and 3 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Illinois 72%(-3%), Iowa 77%(+1%), Minnesota 62%(-1%), Indiana 68%(0%), Ohio 59%(-4%).
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of August 11 was up 1% at 46% and poor / very poor was down 2% at 25%. Current G/EX is down 3% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 5% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 6 reported better, 7 worse, and 2 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 33%(+1%), Georgia 61%(-6%), Arkansas 76%(+2%), Mississippi 57%(+1%), North Carolina 67%(+4%).
Crop Progress
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat harvested as of August 11 was up 5% at 93%. This is up 2% versus last year and up 1% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 100%(0%), Washington 66%(+19%), Montana 69%(+18%), Illinois 100%(0%), Idaho 48%(+22%).
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat harvested as of August 11 was up 12% at 18%. This is down 2% versus last year and down 8% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report North Dakota 12%(+11%), Minnesota 9%(+6%), Montana 22%(+16%), South Dakota 54%(+15%), Idaho 17%(+15%).
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.