Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 628K | 605K to 648K | 739K | 617K | 668K |
Highlights
Supply on the market, at 7.5 months at July's sales rate, is down from 8.4 in the two prior months and is at its lowest since July last year. This will raise spirits among home builders and will be lifting forecasts for housing starts and permits.
The median price of a new home jumped to $429,800, up 3.1 percent on the month on top of June's 2.1 percent increase. Distribution is increasingly centered in the under $300,000 bracket, at 18 percent of total sales which is high for this reading and underscores affordability issues for many buyers.
The ongoing downturn in mortgage rates against the backdrop of a healthy labor market offer an increasingly favorable mix for a housing-sector recovery. And leading this recovery is the new home side of the market as the resale side, where prices are high and supply low, continues to lag.
Today's results lift Econoday's Relative Performance Index from the neutral zone to the positive zone, at plus 13 to now indicate that recent US data, on net, are coming in just ahead of Econoday's consensus estimates.