ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPreviousRevised
Total Vehicle Sales - Annual Rate16.2M15.9M to 16.5M15.8M15.3M15.2M
North American-Made Sales - Annual Rate12.1M11.9M11.8M

Highlights

Sales of motor vehicles are up to a 15.8 million units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in July after 15.2 million units in June. The July increase is below the consensus of 15.9 million units in the Econoday survey of forecasters. Sales of domestically produced motor vehicles are up to 12.1 million units in July after 11.8 million in the prior month. Sales of domestically produced motor vehicles accounted for 76 percent of all sales. While overall sales of motor vehicles largely recovered from a dip in June from May, purchases of motor vehicles are not fully responding to dealer incentives.

Sales of passenger cars rose to 2.997 million units in July from 2.746 million units in June. Sales of light trucks inclusive of SUVs, minivans, and crossovers are up to 12.821 million units in July after 12.431 million units in the prior month. Sales of light trucks accounted for 81 percent of all sales in July. Consumers' preference for the versatile vehicles in the light trucks category remains firm entrenched regardless of fuel prices.

Sales of heavy trucks which are mainly a business investment are up to 485,000 in July after 452,000 in June. While businesses have higher financing costs for equipment at present, they are also replacing or adding to fleets where necessary.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Unit vehicle sales in July are expected to jump to a 16.2 million annualized rate from June's lower-than-expected 15.3 million rate that compared with 15.9 million in May.

Definition

Unit sales of motor vehicles, published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis at the beginning of each month, include domestic sales and imports. Domestics are sales of autos produced in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Imports are U.S. sales of vehicles produced elsewhere. The data track all passenger cars and light trucks up to 14,000 pounds gross weight (including minivans and sport utility vehicles). Though totals include a relatively small portion sold to businesses, motor vehicle sales are good indicators of trends in consumer spending and often are considered a leading indicator at business cycle turning points.

Description

Since motor vehicle sales are an important element of consumer spending, market players watch this closely to get a handle on the direction of the economy. The pattern of consumption spending is one of the foremost influences on stock and bond markets. Strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. The bond market focus is on whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth. This balance was achieved through much of the nineties. For this reason alone, investors in the stock and bond markets enjoyed huge gains during the bull market of the 1990s.

Retail sales growth did slow down in tandem with the equity market during the 2001 recession but then, boosted by a low interest rate environment, rose sharply through 2007 before falling sharply during the Great Recession. Sales then recovered and, once again boosted by low rates, began a long period of steady and favorable growth.

In a more specific sense, auto and truck sales show market conditions for auto makers and the slew of auto-related companies. These figures can influence particular stock prices and provide insight to investment opportunities in this industry. Given that most consumers borrow money to buy cars or trucks, sales also reflect confidence in current and future economic conditions.
Upcoming Events

CME Group is the world’s leading derivatives marketplace. The company is comprised of four Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). 
Further information on each exchange's rules and product listings can be found by clicking on the links to CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX.

© 2025 CME Group Inc. All rights reserved.