Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -3.0% | -3.6% to 0.5% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
Highlights
Details are led by the capital goods groups: machinery orders up 1.5 percent led by construction and mining & oilfield equipment; computers and electronic products up 0.6 percent to extend a run of solid gains; and electrical equipment up 1.2 percent. Again, transportation equipment brought up the rear with a 20.6 percent decline.
Airlines were not only cancelling new orders for aircraft but for unfilled orders as well which as a whole fell a steep 1.4 percent in the month. Total shipments rose 0.5 percent in June with total inventories unchanged.
Factory data have at best been mixed of late, evident in this report but likely more than not with a downside bias. Though no surprise, today's steep headline decline was slightly deeper than expected and leaves Econoday's Relative Performance Index at minus 30 to indicate that recent US data, on net, are tangibly underperforming relative to what have been moderating expectations.