Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Year over Year | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% |
Highlights
A key driver of this growth was the final domestic demand, which picked up slightly, contributing plus 0.1 percentage points to GDP growth, an improvement from the stagnant first quarter. This uptick was largely due to a modest recovery in gross fixed capital formation, which edged up by 0.1 percent following a 0.4 percent decline previously. Household consumption remained stable, showing no change from the previous quarter's slight decrease.
Foreign trade also played a crucial role, contributing 0.2 percentage points to GDP growth. This was supported by stable imports and dynamic export performance, which grew by 0.6 percent, following a 0.7 percent rise in the first quarter. However, changes in inventories had no impact on GDP growth for the second consecutive quarter.
Overall, the second quarter real GDP numbers displayed a balanced economic growth pattern, driven by slight improvements in domestic demand and strong export activity. The French RPI now stands at 6 and the RPI-P at 4. Both readings show overall economic activity modestly outperforming market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anaemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower. Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth.