ConsensusActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.0%-3.8%1.1%0.5%
Year over Year0.0%-3.9%2.9%2.3%

Highlights

Singapore industrial production recorded a sharp decline in June, with output falling 3.8 percent on the month after advancing 0.5 percent in May. Previously published trade data also showed further weakness in exports in June, whereas PMI survey data showed improved conditions in the aggregate economy.

In year-over-year terms, industrial production fell 3.9 percent in June after advancing 2.3 percent in May. This decline in year-over-year growth was largely driven by the electronics industry, which accounts for nearly half of the sector, with output there falling 5.5 percent on the year after surging 18.6 percent previously. In the biomedical industry, where conditions are often volatile, output fell 23.2 percent after a previous decline of 43.0 percent. Output growth picked up in other parts of the sector. Excluding the biomedical industry, output fell 1.6 percent on the year in June after advancing 9.5 percent in May.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Industrial production in Singapore is forecast to show no growth on the month in June after rising in the previous two months, up 1.1 percent in May and 7.5 percent in April. From a year earlier, output is also seen flat, following a 2.9 percent gain in May and a 1.2 percent dip in April.

Definition

The industrial production index measures changes in the volume of industrial production with respect to the base year. The index charts the growth in production of each major industry and of the manufacturing sector. Industrial Production measures the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Factories manufacture various products, and the industrial production indexes have been prepared as a comprehensive indicator of wide-ranging production activities for such products and are regarded as some of the most important among economic indexes.

Description

Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that won't lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.

Industrial production provides key industry data for export-dependent economies. It is highly sensitive to the business cycle and can often predict future changes in employment, earnings and income. For these reasons industrial production is considered a reliable leading indicator that conveys information about the overall health of the economy. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Detailed data in the report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
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