Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% |
Year over Year | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% |
Highlights
Officials characterised GDP and the monthly data published today as showing that"the national economy was generally stable with steady progress". However, they also cautioned that"the external environment is intertwined and complex, the domestic effective demand remains insufficient and the foundation for sound economic recovery and growth still needs to be strengthened". After noting in recent months that they will seek to"frontload and effectively implement" macroeconomic policies that have already been introduced, today's statement did not contain this language, perhaps indicating that some adjustment to policy settings may be considered in the near-term.
In addition to GDP growth, monthly data published today were also generally weaker than expected. The China's RPI and RPI-P, however, rose from minus 29 and minus 30 to minus 7 and zero respectively, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in close to consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The data are compiled by NBS and the People's Bank of China (PBoC). Estimates for non-financial corporations, financial corporations, general government, household and the rest of the world sectors are published. The production accounts, distribution and use of income account, and capital account data are compiled by NBS. NBS also develops the financial account by rearranging financial transactions data in the flow of funds accounts compiled by PBoC. There are no breakdowns of government consumption expenditure, gross fixed capital formation, change in inventories and net exports. Household consumption expenditures are broken down into urban and rural. The income components of GDP are only published in the input-output tables. NBS uses the Chinese Industrial Classification of the National Economy.