ConsensusActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.2%0.5%-1.0%
Year over Year-3.3%-2.9%-3.0%

Highlights

Industrial production experienced a notable increase in May, rising by 0.5 percent compared to April, thereby breaking a two-month downward trend. Energy sectors powered ahead with a 3.0 percent monthly increase, buoyed by consumer and intermediate goods both rising by 0.7 percent. However, capital goods lagged, shrinking by 1.0 percent.

Year-over-year, the seasonally adjusted industrial production figures reveal deeper challenges with an overall 3.3 percent decline. Energy remained a bright spot, growing by 2.5 percent, but there were significant drops in intermediate goods by 1.8 percent, consumer goods by 2.7 percent, and capital goods by 6.4 percent. Sectors like electrical equipment had 4.8 percent growth, coke and refined petroleum products grew by 3.0 percent, and utilities rose by 2.6 percent. In stark contrast, the transport equipment sector plummeted by 11.1 percent, while textiles, clothing, and leather industries fell by 7.0 percent, and machinery and equipment manufacturing declined by 5.7 percent.

The mixed performance across various sectors, with notable growth in electrical equipment and utilities but sharp declines in transport equipment and textiles, suggests that the industrial recovery is uneven and fragile, necessitating targeted policy interventions to sustain and broaden the nascent recovery. It also puts the Italian RPI at minus 1 and the RPI-P at minus 2, underscoring the underperformance of overall economic activity versus market expectations.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Production is seen rising 0.2 percent on the month following a 1.0 percent drop in April.

Definition

Industrial production measures the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Construction is excluded. Approximately 4,100 companies provide data on more than 8,000 monthly flows of production.

Description

Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded from the data. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
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