Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | 0.5% | -1.0% | |
Year over Year | -3.3% | -2.9% | -3.0% |
Highlights
Year-over-year, the seasonally adjusted industrial production figures reveal deeper challenges with an overall 3.3 percent decline. Energy remained a bright spot, growing by 2.5 percent, but there were significant drops in intermediate goods by 1.8 percent, consumer goods by 2.7 percent, and capital goods by 6.4 percent. Sectors like electrical equipment had 4.8 percent growth, coke and refined petroleum products grew by 3.0 percent, and utilities rose by 2.6 percent. In stark contrast, the transport equipment sector plummeted by 11.1 percent, while textiles, clothing, and leather industries fell by 7.0 percent, and machinery and equipment manufacturing declined by 5.7 percent.
The mixed performance across various sectors, with notable growth in electrical equipment and utilities but sharp declines in transport equipment and textiles, suggests that the industrial recovery is uneven and fragile, necessitating targeted policy interventions to sustain and broaden the nascent recovery. It also puts the Italian RPI at minus 1 and the RPI-P at minus 2, underscoring the underperformance of overall economic activity versus market expectations.