Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
CPI - M/M | 0.1% | -0.2% | 0.1% |
CPI - Y/Y | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
Core CPI - M/M | 0.0% | 0.2% | |
Core CPI - Y/Y | 2.2% | 2.2% |
Highlights
Underlying price pressures were steady in June. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 2.2 percent on the year, as it did previously, and was flat on the month after a previous increase of 0.2 percent. Core inflation has fallen only slightly from 2.5 percent at the start of the year to its current level. The year-year-over-year increase in prices was relatively steady for most major categories of spending.
At its most recent policy meeting, held late May, the BoK left policy rates on hold. Officials advised then that they had retained their forecast for core inflation to moderate but cautioned that"it is premature to be confident that inflation will converge on the target level". They advised that their restrictive monetary policy stance will continue"until such confidence is established". Today's data showing little evidence that underlying price pressures are abating will likely reinforce officials' view that policy settings will need to remain restrictive in upcoming meetings. The BoK's next meeting will take place next week.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.