Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | -0.8% to 0.4% | -0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Highlights
The bad news also includes a 0.7 percent decline in total shipments to just about reverse April's 0.8 percent gain. Both unfilled orders and inventories are slightly positive, each up 0.2 percent in the month.
Details on new orders include monthly declines for machinery of 0.5 percent, for nondefense communications equipment of 1.7 percent, and electrical equipment of 0.3 percent. All these are inputs into core capital goods. Computers and electronic products, another input, managed only a 0.1 percent gain.
Transportation details include a 0.5 percent rise for motor vehicles to extend this category's run of gains and a comparatively subdued 2.9 percent decline for commercial aircraft where monthly data are often highly volatile. Defense aircraft are a positive in the report, jumping 22.6 percent on the month.
Total new orders are up on the year, but not by much at only a nominal 1.1 percent which is below the rate of inflation. Should manufacturing stall in the second quarter, GDP success will pivot on consumer spending which, based on April and May's retail sales report, doesn't look very strong either.