Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Year over Year | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
HICP - M/M | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
HICP - Y/Y | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
Highlights
On an annual basis, consumer prices increased by 2.3 percent in May, up from 2.2 percent in April. This slight rise was due to higher energy prices, which jumped from 3.8 percent in April to 5.7 percent in May, along with a 2.9 percent base effect increase in petroleum product prices. Food prices edged up by 1.3 percent year-over-year, while service prices grew at a slower rate, from 3 percent to 2.8 percent, and tobacco prices also slowed, from 9 percent to 8.7 percent year-on-year. Manufactured goods prices remained stable.
The harmonised index of consumer prices increased by 0.1 percent month-over-month, down from 0.6 percent in April, and rose by 2.6 percent year-over-year, up from 2.4 percent. The variation between HICP and CPI is attributed to changes in health sector reimbursements and energy prices.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.