Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Employment - M/M | 27,000 | 39,700 | 38,500 | 37,400 |
Unemployment Rate | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | |
Participation Rate | 66.8% | 66.7% | 66.8% |
Highlights
The number of people employed in Australia rose by 39,700 persons in May, up from an increase of 37,400 persons in April. The consensus forecast was for an increase of 27,000. Full-time employment rose by 41,700 persons after a previous fall of 7,600, partially offset by a fall in part-time employment of 2,100 after a previous increase of 45,000. Hours worked fell 0.5 percent on the month after no change previously.
Today's data also show the unemployment rate fell from 4.1 percent in April to 4.0 percent in May. The participation rate was unchanged at 66.8 percent, remaining close to record highs.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.
The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.