Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | -0.8% to 0.3% | -1.0% | -0.5% | |
Year over Year | -2.9% | -3.5% | -3.2% |
Highlights
April's monthly setback was quite broad-based with capital goods (minus 0.1 percent), intermediates (minus 1.2 percent) and energy (minus 2.1 percent) all posting declines. Consumer goods were only flat.
Today's update leaves overall goods production 1.4 percent below its first quarter average and so on course to make another hit to GDP growth. That said, with the sector PMI (54.2) well above the 50-expansion threshold in May, prospects for the rest of the second quarter may be rather better. The Italian RPI now stands at minus 19 and the RPI-P at minus 17, both measures indicating a modest degree of overall economic underperformance.