Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Employment - M/M | 15,000 | 27,000 | 90,400 |
Unemployment Rate | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
Participation Rate | 65.4% | 65.4% |
Highlights
Wage growth pressure picked up in May, however, as average hourly wages among employees increased 5.1 percent year-over-year (unadjusted), up from from 4.7 percent in April. Hours worked were flat in May and up a modest 1.6 percent from a year ago. The employed portion of the population aged 15 or higher declined to 61.3 percent in May from 61.4 percent in April, its seventh decline in the last eight months, not an inspiring performance.
Full-time employment declined by 36,000 in May while part-time employment rose by 62,000. Year over year, full-time employment is up 263,000 or 1.6 percent while part-time employment is up 140,000 or 3.8 percent.
Stats Canada said unemployment has been trending up among all demographic groups over the last 12 months while more people are working part-time in their main jobs. The involuntary part-time rate was 18.2 percent in May, up from 15.4 percent a year ago.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.
The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.