Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | |
Year over Year | -3.9% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
Highlights
Manufacturing fared rather better with a 0.2 percent monthly rise. Capital and consumer goods increased 0.8 percent but intermediates fell 0.9 percent. Elsewhere, energy grew 1.6 percent but construction was down 2.1 percent.
Despite April's setback, the latest data put overall goods production in the last three months 1.0 percent higher than in the November-January period. This provides further evidence that manufacturing is on the turn. Even so, with new orders still falling and the sector PMI in May (45.4) still deep in contraction territory, the near-term outlook is hardly robust. To this end, today's update trims the German RPI to minus 11 and the RPI-P to minus 8. Overall economic activity is running slightly behind market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.