Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.2% | -0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
Year over Year | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
Highlights
April's monthly setback was led by food, drink and tobacco which also posted a 0.5 percent fall. Non-food, ex-auto fuel dipped just 0.1 percent but auto fuel was off fully 2.2 percent.
Regionally, a 1.2 percent slide in Germany did most of the damage but both France (minus 0.4 percent) and Italy (minus 0.2 percent) also recorded losses. By contrast, Spain (0.8 percent) had a good month while elsewhere, the picture was very mixed.
The April data leave an essentially flat profile to Eurozone retail sales and potentially point to, at best, only a small positive contribution from the sector to second quarter GDP growth. However, the ECB should see weak demand as bolstering the chances of making further progress towards meeting its 2 percent inflation target. Today's report trims the region's RPI to minus 7 and the RPI-P to minus 17. Having outperformed since early May, economic activity in general is now running slightly behind market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.