Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 47.4 | 47.3 | 45.7 |
Highlights
Production continued to contract but only just as the sub-index (49.3) climbed to a 14-month high. New orders fell again but by the least in two years and, similarly, a drop in backlogs was the most shallow since August 2022. Employment was trimmed further amid evidence of ongoing surplus capacity but only matched April's modest decrease. Looking ahead, businesses were more optimistic about the coming 12 months and sentiment reached its highest level since February 2022. Input costs fell again, albeit only fractionally, and factory gate prices were also cut.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing country was Greece (54.9) which, alongside Spain (54.0) and the Netherlands (52.5), was above the 50-growth threshold. France (46.4), Austria (46.3), Italy (45.6) and Germany (45.4) all made progress but remained well below 50.
The minimal revision to the flash data leaves some cautiously optimistic signals for Eurozone manufacturing. Demand will need to pick up more meaningfully for the sector to make any real progress, but signs of stabilisation bode well, and output growth should be positive over the second half of the year. Meantime, declining inflation pressures further increase the likelihood of a cut in ECB interest rates on Thursday. Today's update puts the Eurozone RPI at 11 and the RPI-P at minus 2. Broadly speaking, overall economic activity is moving in line with market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.