Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 52.4 | 50.8 | 52.3 |
Manufacturing Index | 48.0 | 45.6 | 47.4 |
Services Index | 53.7 | 52.6 | 53.3 |
Highlights
The headline index for the manufacturing sector suggests sharper contraction in June, falling sharply to a six-month low of 45.6 from 47.3 in May. The business activity index for the services sector shows weaker expansion, falling to a three-month low of 52.6 from 53.2 in May. Reflecting these declines, the flash composite index fell from 52.2 in May to 50.8 in June, also a three-month low and indicating only modest expansion in the aggregate economy.
Survey respondents reported a bigger fall in manufacturing output and weaker growth in service sector activity in June. The surveys show a small increase in new orders in the services sector but a bigger fall in factory new orders, while respondents reported solid payrolls growth in the services sector and another decline in payrolls in the manufacturing sector. The surveys' measures of business confidence showed weaker sentiment in both sectors. Input costs were reported to have risen at a slower pace in the services sector but to have risen in the manufacturing sector after a previous decline, while output prices rose at a slower pace in the services sector and fell at less pronounced pace in the manufacturing sector.
Today's data were weaker the consensus forecasts for 52.4 in the composite index, 48.0 in the manufacturing index and 53.7 in the services index. The Eurozone RPI fell from minus 31 to minus 41, while the RPI-P fell from minus 33 to minus 48, indicating that Eurozone data are now coming in further below consensus expectations.