Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
HICP - M/M | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
HICP - Y/Y | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
Narrow Core - M/M | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
Narrow Core - Y/Y | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
Highlights
Energy and services prices were the main factors pushing headline HICP inflation higher in May. Energy prices rose 0.3 percent on the year after a previous decline of 0.6 percent, while the year-over-year increase in services prices picked up from 3.7 percent to 4.1 percent. This was offset by more moderate increases in food prices and non-energy industrial good prices.
On a regional basis, the increase in Eurozone HICP inflation in May was broad-based across major economies. German inflation increased from 2.4 percent in April to 2.8 percent in May while French inflation picked up from 2.4 percent to 2.6 percent. Spanish inflation also picked up further from 3.4 percent to 3.8 percent, partly offset by a small fall in Italian inflation from 0.9 percent to 0.8 percent.
Today's data left the Eurozone RPI-P measure unchanged at minus 33 but resulted in a fall in the RPI measure from minus 19 to minus 31, indicating that data are now coming in somewhat further below consensus expectations.
Definition
Description
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments.
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from your mortgage and auto loans to Treasury bills, notes and bonds. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the HICP are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.