Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 49.9 | 50.5 | 48.3 |
Services Index | 50.5 | 51.3 | 48.3 |
Highlights
The headline adjustment was largely due to services where the 50.5 flash sector PMI was boosted to 51.3, its best reading since May 2003. New orders increased on the back of stronger demand at home and abroad although it remained historically subdued. Still, the rise was sufficient to lift backlogs for the first time since last July. As a result, employment expanded further and the rate of jobs growth accelerated to a 9-month high. Looking ahead, business expectations for the coming year were down slightly versus March but still the second strongest since January 2023.
Input cost inflation continued to cool but remained high and was firm enough to see output prices hiked by the most in three months.
In sum, the final April results will boost hopes that second quarter growth will come above the modest 0.2 percent rate seen at the start of the year. The overall picture remains quite sluggish but the relative buoyancy of services could be a threat to prices and the ECB will be watching this area closely. Today's report leaves the French RPI at 18 and the RPI-P at 13, both readings showing economic activity in general running slightly ahead of market forecasts.