Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.03% | 0.14% | |
Year to Date on Y/Y Basis | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
Highlights
Officials characterised monthly data published today as showing that"the national economy was generally stable and continued to rebound and progress well". Although they acknowledged growth in some indicators moderated, they attributed this to the impact of lunar new year holidays and base effects. Officials also warned, however, that"the external environment is becoming more complex, severe and uncertain" and that the domestic economy still faces"multiple difficulties and challenges". They noted that they will seek to"frontload and effectively implement" macroeconomic policies that have already been introduced, suggesting that they do not yet see a case for a major shift in policy settings.
Monthly activity data published today were weaker than expected, with fixed asset investment growth falling short of the consensus forecast for year-to-date growth of 4.7 percent. China's RPI fell from plus 29 to minus 21 and the RPI-P fell from plus 40 to minus 30, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in below consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investment in fixed assets therefore provides information about near-term and future economic growth. Investors need to closely track the economic growth because it usually dictates how investments will perform. Investors in the stock market like to see healthy economic growth because robust business activity translates to higher corporate profits. Bond investors are more highly sensitive to inflation and robust economic activity could potentially pave the road to inflation. By tracking economic data such as GDP, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.