Recent History
On FeedPlacementsMarketingsOn Feed
MonthMillion Head% YoYMillion Head% YoYMillion Head% YoY90+ Days
Nov-2311.956101.4%1.86598.1%1.75192.5%5.752
Dec-2312.016102.4%1.69895.2%1.72499.0%5.949
Jan-2411.930101.7%1.79192.5%1.84399.8%6.366
Feb-2411.797100.4%1.890109.7%1.793103.4%6.638
Mar-2411.838101.3%1.75288.0%1.70786.3%6.656
Apr-2411.826101.5%1.65694.2%1.872110.1%6.587
May-2411.55499.1%----6.425
Cattle on Feed Estimates
Estimates
As OfAverageLowHighLast Year
On FeedMay99.2%97.9%100.5%96.5%
PlacementsApr94.6%86.5%104.5%96.5%
MarketingsApr109.3%104.6%110.7%89.9%

Highlights

The USDA Cattle on Feed Report showed placements for the month of April at 94.2% of last year versus an average trade expectation of 94.6% and a range of 86.5% to 104.5%. Marketings for April came in at 110.1% of last versus 109.3% expected (range 104.6% to 110.7%). On feed supply as of May 1 came in at 99.1% of last year versus 99.2% expected (range 97.9% to 100.5%).

The report was neutral. Placements, marketings, and on-feed numbers were all very close to expectations. We may see a lower open on Tuesday because the market rallied 2.475 last week.

Definition

This file contains the monthly total number of cattle and calves on feed, placements, marketings, and other disappearances; by class and feedlot capacity for selected states; number of feedlots and fed cattle marketings by size groups for selected states. Data is organized by state and by U.S.

Description

This report offers a timely update on the current makeup of the beef cattle herd. It is probably the most-watched of the USDA reports for the cattle markets and can be a market-moving event if it contains a surprise. The marketings number provides an indicator of recent demand and has the ability to affect the price of nearby futures contracts. The placements number offers insight on the future supply of market ready cattle and has a tendency to affect the deferred contracts. Cattle are placed on feed for anywhere from 90 to 180 days, so a large placements number in June would project large market-ready supply in the fall. Both the placements and the marketings numbers inform the on feed number, which is a measure of current supply. The report offers state-by-state breakdowns as well by various weight groupings, providing an opportunity for further, in-depth analysis. Cattle on Feed reports are usually released on Friday afternoons after the cattle futures market closes, and the results will be reflected on the opening the following Monday morning.
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