ActualPrevious
Composite Index61.561.8
Services Index60.861.2

Highlights

The S&P Global PMI survey for India's services sector shows conditions moderated but remained very strong in April, with the survey's main business activity index coming in at 60.8 versus 61.2 in March. The manufacturing sector PMI, published last week, showed similar conditions, with its headline index at 58.8 from 59.1 in March, the latter the highest level since 2008. The composite index covering both sectors eased marginally from 61.8 in March, its second-highest level in nearly 14 years, to 61.5 in April. With these PMI surveys showing very robust conditions in the Indian economy, the Reserve Bank of India's focus will likely remain on risks to the inflation outlook at its policy meeting next month.

Respondents to the service sector survey reported output, new orders, and new export orders all continued to grow at a very strong pace in April. The survey also shows a smaller increase in payrolls and an increase in its measure of business confidence. Respondents also reported smaller but still strong increases in input costs and selling prices in April.

Definition

The Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a joint publication by Markit and the Nikkei media organisation and provides an estimate of business activity in private sector services for the previous month by using information obtained from a representative sector survey incorporating around 800 companies. Results are synthesised into a single index which can range between zero and 100. A reading above (below) 50 signals rising (falling) activity versus the previous month and the closer to 100 (zero) the faster is activity growing (contracting).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the Markit PMIs, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.

The survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month based on data collected mid-month. For each of the indicators the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of higher/better responses and lower/worse responses, and the diffusion index. This index is the sum of the positive responses plus a half of those responding the same.

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey methodology has developed an outstanding reputation for providing the most up-to-date possible indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. The indices are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.
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