Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -1.0% | -0.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
Year over Year | -4.0% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -5.2% |
Highlights
Production of consumer goods and intermediate goods fell by 1.4 percent and 0.6 percent respectively in March, partly offset by an increase of 0.1 percent in the output of capital goods. Industrial production excluding energy and construction also fell 0.4 percent on the month in March and fell 3.4 percent on the year. Energy production fell 4.2 percent on the month, while construction output increased 1.0 percent.
Weakness in today's data was less pronounced than the consensus forecast for a fall of 1.0 percent on the quarter and a year-over-year decline of 4.0 percent. The RPI rose from plus 11 to plus 21, while the RPI-P was unchanged at plus 21, indicating modest out-performance relative to consensus.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.