Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 52.0 | 52.3 | 51.4 |
Manufacturing Index | 46.3 | 47.4 | 45.6 |
Services Index | 53.5 | 53.3 | 52.9 |
Highlights
In line with recent months, the promising headline print was wholly attributable to services where, at 53.3, the flash sector PMI was solid and unchanged from April's final print. However, at 47.4, its manufacturing counterpart at least moved closer to stagnation and output (49.6) posted its best reading in 14 months.
Courtesy of a 13-month peak in services, aggregate new orders continued to expand despite ongoing weakness in manufacturing. Growth here prompted another services-led increase in employment which rose by the most since last June. Even so, purchasing activity declined again and a lack of pressure on supply chains saw delivery times shorten for a fourth straight month. Looking ahead, business expectations climbed to their strongest level since February 2022 on the back of improving optimism in both sectors.
Inflation news was mixed. Input costs rose sharply again but the yearly rate still fell and output price inflation eased to its lowest mark since November 2023.
The preliminary May results suggest that the Eurozone economy is picking up momentum and bode well for second quarter GDP growth. Inflation pressures have not gone away but at least seem to be moving in the right direction. Overall, there is nothing here to stop the ECB cutting key interest rates in June. Today's data lift the region's RPI to 39 and the RPI-P to 53, both readings showing economic activity in general a good deal stronger than expected.