Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 51.4 | 51.7 | 50.3 |
Services Index | 52.9 | 53.3 | 51.5 |
Highlights
The positive headline revision was largely due to services where the 52.9 flash sector PMI was revised up to 53.3, also an 11-month peak and nearly two points firmer than its final March outturn. The improvement here came courtesy of a second successive and accelerated rise in new orders. Indeed, growth here was the strongest since last May and robust enough to prompt the first gain in backlogs in 10 months. In turn, this led to the largest increase in new jobs since the middle of last year. Business confidence about the year ahead was slightly weaker than March's 25-month high but still strong and in line with the long-run average.
Less promisingly, inflationary pressures were more marked with the input cost rate rising from March's 8-month low and output prices also climbing at a more rapid pace.
In terms of national composite output indices, the best performing member state was Spain (55.7) which was well ahead of Italy (52.6). Also, just on the right side of 50 were Germany (50.6), France (50.5) and Ireland (50.4).
Taken at face value, the final results suggest that the Eurozone economy is gradually picking up momentum albeit confined to services and that faster growth is underpinning potentially inflationary wage gains. A cut in interest rates in June still looks very probable but beyond that the monetary easing path is much less clear. Today's update leaves the region's RPI at minus 3 and the RPI-P at 8. Economic activity in general is broadly performing as expected.