Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.5% | 0.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
Year over Year | -3.1% | -3.4% | -3.7% |
Highlights
Weakness was most apparent in energy where output fell a monthly 2.0 percent but consumer goods (minus 0.8 percent) also struggled. Offsets came from intermediates (0.1 percent) and, in particular, capital goods (3.5 percent).
On Tuesday the government revised down its 2024 growth forecast from 1.2 percent to 1.0 percent and today's disappointingly soft data are certainly consistent with a poor first quarter. Ignoring any revisions, March will now need a monthly increase of at least 3.3 percent if the sector is not to have a fourth straight hit on GDP growth. The February report trims both the Italian RPI and RPI-P to minus 25, underscoring the underperformance of overall economic activity versus market expectations.