Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Rate | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
Highlights
Looking ahead, vacancies dropped a further 9,000 following a 7,000 decrease last time, consistent with a modest cooling in the demand for new hires.
The April data show a still generally tight labour market which means that wage growth will remain a key focus of the ECB when it comes to cutting key interest rates. To this end, the German RPI now stands at 28 and the RPI-P at 43, both values showing economic activity in general running somewhat ahead of market forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Unlike in the U.S. no wage data are included in this report. But by tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If labor markets are tight, investors will be alert to possible inflationary pressures that could exist. If wage inflation threatens, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise; bond and stock prices will fall. No doubt that the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who watched the employment report and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events. In contrast, when job growth is slow or negative, then interest rates are likely to decline - boosting up bond and stock prices in the process.