Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 45.7 | 46.1 | 46.5 |
Highlights
Output, employment and new business all fell again but by less than in the previous month to leave the monthly drop in the headline index attributable to suppliers' delivery times and stocks of purchases. Even so, production would have declined more steeply but for a further reduction in backlogs. Input costs also eased again but margins remained under pressure as factory prices declined more sharply. That said, optimism about prospects for the year ahead was the strongest since April last year, albeit still slightly below its long-run average.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing member state was Greece (56.9) which, alongside Spain (51.4) and Italy (50.4), was the only country to post above 50. The Netherlands (49.7) and Ireland (49.6) were not far behind but France (46.2), and, in particular, Austria (42.2) and Germany (41.9) were deep in recession territory.
Despite the upward revision to the headline index, the final March data paint a fairly miserable picture of Eurozone manufacturing. Germany is weighing especially heavily and with demand still falling, the likelihood of any meaningful near-term recovery remains minimal. Goods production looks set to subtract again from first quarter Eurozone GDP growth. Even so, today's update puts the region's RPI at 10 and RPI-P at 12 indicating a limited degree of overall economic outperformance versus market expectations
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.