ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPreviousRevised
Initial Claims - Level215K210K to 215K212K211K212K
Initial Claims - Change0K-11K-10K
4-Week Moving Average214.5K214.25K214.5K

Highlights

Initial jobless claims were unchanged at 212,000 in the week ended April 13, within the forecast range of 210,000 to 215,000 in an Econoday survey.

Claims have been at 212,000 five out of the past six weeks, the March 30 week being the exception at 222,000. As a result, the four-week moving average was also unchanged at 214,500 in the April 13 week, confirming the recent steady trend in initial claims.

Insured jobless claims were little changed at 1.812 million in lagging data for the April 6 week, up 2,000 from the previous week. The insured rate of unemployment for workers covered by unemployment insurance remained steady at 1.2 percent, where it has been for over a year.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Jobless claims have been steady and low and the April 13 week is expected to follow suit. A 215,000 increase is Econoday's consensus versus the prior week's 211,000

Definition

New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smooths out weekly volatility.

Description

Jobless claims are an easy way to gauge the strength of the job market. The fewer people filing for unemployment benefits, the more have jobs, and that tells investors a great deal about the economy. Nearly every job comes with an income that gives a household spending power. Spending greases the wheels of the economy and keeps it growing, so a stronger job market generates a healthier economy.

There's a downside to it, though. Unemployment claims, and therefore the number of job seekers, can fall to such a low level that businesses have a tough time finding new workers. They might have to pay overtime wages to current staff, use higher wages to lure people from other jobs, and in general spend more on labor costs because of a shortage of workers. This leads to wage inflation, which is bad news for the stock and bond markets. Federal Reserve officials are always on the look-out for inflationary pressures.

By tracking the number of jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight, or how loose, the job market is. If wage inflation looks threatening, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise, bond and stock prices will fall, and the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who tracked jobless claims and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.

Just remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.
Upcoming Events

CME Group is the world’s leading derivatives marketplace. The company is comprised of four Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). 
Further information on each exchange's rules and product listings can be found by clicking on the links to CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX.

© 2025 CME Group Inc. All rights reserved.